Alex, Bonnie, Colin, and Danielle. Meet the first 4 predicted storms of the 2010 hurricane season.  This year the National Hurricane Center (of the NOAA) has predicted an extremely active season with an estimated 14-23 named storms to occur in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico.  They predict 8 to 14 will become hurricanes, with 3-7 major hurricanes clocking wind speeds over 111 mph.

Tropical storms receive a name when wind speeds exceed 39 mph and become hurricanes when their sustained winds reach 74 mph.  Historically, the Atlantic hurricane season from June 1 through November 30 produces 11 named storms and 2 major hurricanes.

Among many variables, scientists and forecasters say there are three main factors we will see more storms this year:

1. Weak Wind Shear
   Wind shear can dismantle storms and with El Nino dissipating this year winds are expected to be lighter.
2. Warmer Water
   El Nino also brought warm ocean temperatures which should remain above average throughout the season.
3. Era of Hurricanes
   Since 1995, the Atlantic has increasingly formed more storms than in previous decades.

AccuWeather, led by researchers at Colorado State University, similarly predicted 16-18 named storms in 2010, with 6 storms striking the United States.

Needless to say, it’s going to be a busy year for hurricanes.  Stay safe, be prepared and enjoy the summer!